Cowboys Playoff Tracker: How win over Lions


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  • | 09.11.2018 04:50

changed Cowboys’ postseason odds Here at Blogging The Boys Dallas Cowboys Hats , we’ve been tracking the Cowboys’ playoff chances since Week 1, even though there were some questions about why we would be talking about the playoffs after losing the season opener. The Cowboys are now 2-2, and we continue with our weekly look at the Cowboys’ playoff odds, even as folks continue to think posting Jim Mora’s “Playoffs?” rant is still somehow original 12 years after it happened.We’ll start off today’s look at the playoff odds with this convenient reference chart which shows the historic playoff odds since realignment in 2002 for every relevant W/L record.At 2-2, the historic playoff odds for the Cowboys stand at just 36%. Which looks a little strange considering that 0-0 teams and 1-1 teams have better odds than 2-2 teams. But this has a lot to do with the number of games remaining. If we consider that 11 wins gets you a sure playoff berth (in most years), then 0-0 teams need an 11-5 record - or a .688 winning percentage - to make the playoffs. But a team already at 2-2 needs to finish the season with a 9-3 record (.750 winning percentage) to get to 11-5, and that higher required winning percentage is why the odds of making the playoffs are lower for a 2-2 team than a 1-1 or 0-0 team. But the historic odds are just one way of looking at playoff odds. Here are four more:Fivethirtyeight.comIn an Elo-based calculation that takes into account scoring differential Dallas Cowboys Womens Hoodie , last season’s record (to an extent), the unexpected nature of their wins and more, the site gives the Cowboys a 38% chance of making the playoffs, pretty much in line with the historic odds.Football OutsidersAnother source for playoff odds comes from our good friends at Football Outsiders. Here’s how FO see the playoff odds for winning the division, getting a bye week, or gaining a wild card berth: With a 34% chance at the playoffs for the Cowboys, FO is pretty much in line with the historic odds. VegasOddshark shows that the Cowboys have improved their odds of winning the NFC East to +275 after opening the season with +333. Current Odds to win NFC East:Philadelphia Eagles -118 (opening: -180)Dallas Cowboys +275 (+333)Washington Redskins +350 (+700)New York Giants +1200 (+700)Pythagorean Win ProjectionsWe looked in detail at the Pythagorean Formula in last week’s playoff tracker and saw that it would have taken a big win against the Lions to move the projection noticeably.The Cowboys did win against the Lions Womens Customized Dallas Cowboys Jerseys , but only by two points, so the Pythagorean win projection for the Cowboys after four weeks is at a lowly 7.0 wins, and that’s certainly not enough for a playoff berth.But all of this is just a snapshot. So here’s the question the next few weeks need to answer: Are the 2018 Cowboys a playoff contender whose offense was simply off to a slow start to the season and is now finding its groove? Or are the four games so far indicative of what the 2018 Cowboys are - a middling team with an eight-win ceiling?The Cowboys have the most favorable upcoming three weeks of any NFL team The Dallas Cowboys are 1-1 and in first place in the NFC East. Life is good.Obviously we want more. One win isn’t going to send any team to the playoffs so the Cowboys better plan on adding to that column, and adding a whole lot to it. They’ll have to go through Seattle this week if they want to do so, but given what we saw on Monday night that might not be so treacherous. The Seahawks did indeed look very beatable under Jason Witten’s watchful Monday Night Football eye in Chicago. Their offense is broken, their offensive line breaks even harder, and they’re hardly the defense of the earlier part of this decade. They’re 0-2 for a reason.Seattle is not the only winless foe on the Cowboys upcoming schedule www.cowboyscheapauthenticstore.com , actually. Did you know that the next three opponents Dallas will face are all currently winless?Want to know something else? The Cowboys are the only team in the NFL with this type of draw. Seriously. The only one.Each one of the other 31 teams across the NFL will face at least one team with at least one win from Weeks 3 through 5. Strength of schedule is something that’s often debated over the course of the offseason, well the Cowboys technically have the easiest path through this stretch after the season’s first two weeks.Seattle, Detroit, and Houston are hardly going to be walks in the park for the Cowboys. There are three capable quarterbacks there (two of whom are mobile) plus a Super Bowl-winning head coach and defensive coordinator. It should definitely be noted that the Cowboys will be visiting Seattle in the regular season for the first time since their incredible win back in 2014, and for the first time in general since Tony Romo was hurt during the preseason and the state of the franchise changed forever as it passed over to Dak Prescott.NFL seasons are sometimes broken down into quarters and the goal is to go at least 3-1 in each of them. The Cowboys have a shot to do that and to start the second quarter of the season off on a winning note as well with three teams that have yet to record a win on the season.Of course the challenge when facing winless teams in the NFL is that they are all extremely hungry to get their first. Dallas will be facing some desperate teams, but if their records are any indication they’re not to be too tremendously feared.

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